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Mount Shasta Avalanche Forecast

  • Published on December 1, 2020 @ 6:00 am
    This Avalanche Forecast expires in 4 hours, 59 minutes
  • This forecast is valid for 24 hours
    Issued by Aaron Beverly - Mount Shasta Avalanche Center

Avalanche danger is LOW. The snowpack is thin and hazards exist above and below the surface. Tread lightly. High pressure will keep conditions dry and clear for the foreseeable future. Today is Giving Tuesday. Consider a donation to the Mount Shasta Avalanche Center this year. Thank you!

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Avalanche Problem 1: Normal Caution

  • Character ?
  • Aspect/Elevation ?

Overall avalanche danger is LOW. Exercise normal caution. Get back into the avalanche awareness mindset. Use safe travel techniques and bring your shovel, probe, and transceiver. Practice using them. Even the most experienced avalanche professionals need to review their skills.

Forecast Discussion

We are excited to be back providing daily avalanche reports. If your skis have been sitting out all summer, get the pine pollen dusted off, throw on some wax, and get ready. Yes, we are high and dry for a bit, but the snow will come.

Today is Giving Tuesday. Please consider supporting the Mount Shasta Avalanche Center this year. Our mission is to enrich the Mount Shasta Area backcountry experience by providing professional forecasting, real-time information, and avalanche safety training. Our organization would not exist without the generosity of our supporters. Click here to donate. Thank you!

https://www.northstategives.org/FriendsOfTheMountShastaAvalancheCenter

Recent Observations

A winter storm beginning on November 17th brought close to 20 inches of snow to the Old Ski Bowl. About 15 inches of this still remains. The snowpack is right side up and at least fist hard. A few crusts are intermingled throughout.

Downhill skiers will find the snowpack barely usable, though it may provide uphill and Nordic skiers with a pleasant workout. Snowmobilers are still enjoying it. Tread lightly if leaving the road to the Old Ski Bowl - the snowpack is shallow and many hazards lurk above and below the surface. Boondocking with your new turbo kit is not recommended.

Weather and Current Conditions

Weather Summary

A high pressure ridge off the coast is sending our wintry weather to the far north, a trend that will continue throughout this week, and most likely through the second week of December. Expect dry, clear weather for the foreseeable future.

Our three month weather outlook puts us in a narrow band of normal which could be be a good thing. A normal Shasta winter is a good winter.

24 Hour Weather Station Data @ 5:00 AM

Weather Station Temp (°F) Wind (mi/hr) Snow (in) Comments
Cur Min Max Avg Avg Max Gust Dir Depth New Water Equivalent Settlement
Mt. Shasta City (3540 ft)
Sand Flat (6750 ft) 25 25 40 32 10 0 0 0
Ski Bowl (7600 ft) 38 28 40.5 34.5 15.4 0 0 0.6
Gray Butte (8000 ft) 38 27.5 38.5 33.5 14 55 WNW
Castle Lake (5870 ft) 33 26.5 43 34 9 0 1.8
Mount Eddy (6509 ft) 29 29 41.5 35.5 2 6 ESE 10.4 0 1.4
Ash Creek Bowl (7250 ft)
Ash Creek Ridge (7895 ft)

Two Day Mountain Weather Forecast

Produced in partnership with the Medford NWS

For 7000 ft to 9000 ft
  Tuesday
(4 a.m. to 10 p.m.)
Tuesday Night
(10 p.m. to 4 a.m.)
Wednesday
(4 a.m. to 10 p.m.)
Weather Sunny and calm. Clear. Sunny with light and variable wind.
Temperature (°F) 42 33 45
Wind (mi/hr) Northeast 0-5 East 5-10 East 0-5
Precipitation SWE / Snowfall (in) 0.00 / 0 0.00 / 0 0.00 / 0
For 9000 ft to 11000 ft
  Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
Weather Sunny. Clear. Sunny.
Temperature (°F) 41 37 41
Wind (mi/hr) South 5-10 South 5-10 South 5-10
Precipitation SWE / Snowfall (in) 0.00 / 0 0.00 / 0 0.00 / 0

Season Precipitation for Mount Shasta City

Period Measured (in) Normal (in) Percent of Normal (%)
From Oct 1, 2020 (the wet season) 1.70 7.36 23
Month to Date (since Dec 1, 2020) 1.69 5.08 33
Year to Date (since Jan 1, 2020) 14.61 35.36 41

Disclaimer

This forecast does not apply to Ski Areas or Highways and is for the Mt. Shasta, Castle Lake and Mt. Eddy backcountry. Use this information for guidance only. You may find different conditions in the backcountry and should travel accordingly. This forecast expires 24 hours after the posted time unless otherwise noted.