You are here

Forecast Addendum - 02/04/2022 - 07:00am

Submitted by nmeyers on Fri, 02/04/2022 - 6:05am
Recent Observations: 



{South side photo taken on 2.3.22} - After recent nuclear wind from earlier in the week, the mountain experienced some respite yesterday. In the last 24 hours at 8,000 feet, mean speeds were 7 mi/hr, maximum sustained 16, and maximum gusts 30. Temperatures at the Old Ski Bowl ranged from 28 to 39 ºF, a high temp a few degrees cooler than the day prior. Over on the west side, Castle Lake and Mt. Eddy area, temperatures have been very similar.

Snow surfaces are highly wind-affected, very firm and variable. Smooth, soft turns might still be found as things warm up over the next few days. Look to slopes receiving direct sun for the softest snow. Anything hit by the wind is scoured to crusts or exposed rock. Climbing conditions on Mount Shasta are good. Rock and ice fall have been observed. An ice axe and helmet and crampons are mandatory tools to bring and know how to use if ascending up steep slopes at high elevations. Smooth, icy snow is certain and a slide-for-life is a real possibility should one slip, trip, fall.

No signs of avalanches/unstable snow have been observed for weeks. Precipitation has not fallen from the sky since January 8th.

Mountain Weather: 

Let Willie Nelson and Kenny Rogers give us the weather for today...



Expect highs in the lower to mid 40's near treeline with north wind shifting to northwest this afternoon. Wind speeds appear light near and below treeline and moderate to strong above treeline over ridges and exposed terrain. Freezing levels throughout the weekend will hover around 4,000 to 5,000 feet. Overall, temperatures will warm a few degrees each day over the weekend. Northwesterly flow prevails. The 8 - 14 day outlook calls for greater chances of above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation.

 

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Mostly sunny
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
N
Today 8-9 Weather: 
Mostly sunny and windy
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
W
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
Sunny
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
N
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
Sunny and windy
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
N
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Partly cloudy
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
N
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
Partly cloudy and windy
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Today 7-8 Temp: 
43
Today 8-9 Temp: 
30
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
44
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
34
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
30
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
30
25
25
39
30
173
0
0
32
28
39.5
32.5
61.71
0
0
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
35
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
28.5
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
35
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
32
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
14.5
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
16
Grey Butte Wind Gust Max: 
30.66
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
ESE
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
34
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
29.5
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
38
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
33.5
Castle Lake Snow Depth: 
36.56
Castle Lake Snow New: 
0.2
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
29
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
28.5
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
39.5
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
33
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
3
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
3.5
Mount Eddy Wind Gust Max: 
7.63
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
WSW
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
38.8
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
28
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
25
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
36.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
30
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0.1
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
31
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
21.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
35.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
27.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
3
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
13
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Gust Max: 
21.9
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
NW
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
33
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
29
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
47
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
36
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
7
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
1.5
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
N
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
2
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
7.5
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
1
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
2
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
1
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
4
Sand Flat Snow Settlement: 
1
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0.1
Castle Lake Snow Settlement: 
0
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
0.1
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
14.31
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
19.1
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
75
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
0
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
0.57
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
0
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
0.96
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
6.86
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
14
Today SWE: 
0.00
Tonight SWE: 
0.00
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.00
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
5
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
10
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
10
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
0
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
15
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
30
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
25
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
10
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
25
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
20
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
41.02
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Low
Current Time: 
4:00 AM