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Forecast Addendum - 02/11/2022 - 07:00am

Submitted by nmeyers on Fri, 02/11/2022 - 5:48am
Recent Observations: 

Yesterday, MSAC forecasters assisted with a Forest Service snowmobile class out at Pilgrim Creek Sno-Park. Believe it or not, snow is still holding out along the Tri-Forest Snowmobile Trails and access via Pilgrim Creek is good. The trails are snow covered, but barely in some areas. Active grooming operations have been taking place. Go get some wind in your face, take a run or walk on the firm snow in the morning, or skate ski on fresh groomers as snowmobile traffic has been light. The Deer Mountain side is free of snow past Pomeroy Creek. The Trout Creek and Ash Creek loops are groomed, as well as Military Pass. Average snow depth is 1-3.5 feet, depending on aspect. Southerly aspects are really starting to melt out. Rocks, stumps, trees and logs are beginning to show. Remember to take the Esperanza road if heading out there. The Pilgrim Creek road and Mud Creek crossing section is still closed.



Mt. Shasta's east side, view from Jackrabbit Flat. 2.10.22 [Photo: N Meyers]

Snow surfaces are softening up by late morning to early afternoon. Smooth snow is hard to find. Climbing conditions are pretty good, but it's still rough up there. Climb early, wear a helmet, and keep your head up. Be prepared for icy slopes and overhead, falling rock and ice hazards. It's been high and dry since January 8th. On the mountain, surfaces are nothing close to smooth with wind, sun and dirt effects, and tracks. Ice and rockfall are the primary concern. 

Mountain Weather: 

Dig into that tickle trunk and find some other toys. We've slowly watched sliding and riding equipment be replaced by boards (surf), boats, bikes, mopeds or motorcycles, because that is what's happening around here. If we don't get any more snow soon, winter recreation will have left the chat. 

Keep your chin up and let that sun shine on your beautiful face, today is going to be a roasty toasty one. That pesky east/northeast flow will keep things warm, with light wind. It could be breezy over ridges and the upper mountain. High temps will test records in some areas. By Sunday, a ridge of high pressure will still remain over the area, keeping temperatures warmer than normal. We should begin a trend downwards as the overall flow turns more westerly Sunday afternoon. Confidence is decent that a closed low out of the Gulf of Alaska will bring light precipitation to the area on Monday and Monday evening. This would potentially end a dry spell of over a month. Yeesh.

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Sunny
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
NE
Today 8-9 Weather: 
Sunny and breezy
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
N
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
Sunny
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
E
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
Sunny
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Clear
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
E
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
Clear
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
E
Today 7-8 Temp: 
56
Today 8-9 Temp: 
36
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
54
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
35
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
39
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
35
33
32
56
39
45
0
0
42.5
42.5
53
47.5
59.15
0
0
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
46
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
46
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
51
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
48
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
4
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
29.5
Grey Butte Wind Gust Max: 
49.07
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
E
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
48
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
42.5
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
57
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
49.5
Castle Lake Snow Depth: 
34.94
Castle Lake Snow New: 
0
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
38.5
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
38
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
56.5
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
45
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
3.5
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
3.5
Mount Eddy Wind Gust Max: 
6.02
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
WSW
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
36.74
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
40
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
34.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
48.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
41.5
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
42.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
37.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
57
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
45.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
3
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
4.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Gust Max: 
11.36
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
SW
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
36
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
31
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
66
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
46.5
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
3
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
5
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
2
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
N
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
4
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
15
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
0.5
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
2.5
Ash Creek Bowl Comments: 
Not responding
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
1.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
2.5
Sand Flat Snow Settlement: 
0
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
1.2
Castle Lake Snow Settlement: 
0.2
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
0.6
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
14.31
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
20.5
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
70
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
0
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
1.97
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
0
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
0.96
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
8.26
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
12
Today SWE: 
0.00
Tonight SWE: 
0.00
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.00
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
5
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
5
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
5
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
0
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
0
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
0
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
10
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
10
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
10
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
5
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
5
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
5
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
40.68
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Low
Current Time: 
4:00 AM