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Forecast Addendum - 03/18/2022 - 07:00am

Submitted by nmeyers on Fri, 03/18/2022 - 6:15am
Recent Observations: 


Yesterday started out with mid and high level clouds in the area. Near treeline on Mount Shasta at about 1100 hours, a few flakes of snow fell from the sky. The flakes were so few, you could have counted them. Needless to say, there was no accumulation. Near the noon hour, the skies began to clear and by the afternoon, it was a very nice day with mild temperatures and calm wind. Snow surfaces were late to soften yesterday due to AM cloud cover. Avalanche Gulch has usable snow for climbers and skiers, though that snow will mostly be confined to the main gullies. Ridges and moraines are mostly devoid of snow until 10,000 ft. Expect plenty of patches of dirt as you ascend out of Bunny Flat and into 'The Gulch'. Please try to stay on the snow to limit damage to sensitive plants and soils.

The mountain is looking more like it does in late June on a normal year. Climbing conditions are decent, but climbers should be prepared for falling rock and firm conditions. Even though it looks like June, remember that it is still winter and backcountry users should be prepared for it. Crampons, an ice axe, and a helmet should be considered mandatory gear for summit attempts. Snow will still make access to east and north side trailheads difficult. Always check the weather before climbing. 

A few photos from yesterday in Avalanche Gulch, 3.17.22 - Photo: Meyers


Mountain Weather: 

A trough over the Gulf of Alaska will send a cold front our way this weekend. Most areas will experience increasing cloud cover today at mid and upper elevations. Overall, expect another fairly mild day. The cold front will approach this evening and bring a chance of rain and snow by 2am. Widespread wetting rains are expected across the region, though the front will quickly move east of the Cascades Saturday afternoon. Accumulating snow will be restricted mostly to areas above 4,500 feet, varying from 1-6 inches. Snow levels will linger near 6,400 feet tonight and fall to 5,000 feet tomorrow.  Temperatures on Saturday will be about 10-15 degrees cooler than today. Expect the storm to be wrapping up by Saturday evening. Sunday into next week, look for clearing skies with sunny and warm weather back in session. Highs will be in the 60s. 

  

                                                          

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Partly sunny, calm wind
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
S
Today 8-9 Weather: 
Partly sunny, breezy
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
Colder. Snow. Snow level near 5,000 feet.
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
SW
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
Snow, heavy at times. Breezy. Wind chill to -1 F.
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Chance of snow after 2am. Mostly cloudy. Snow level near 6,400 feet.
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
S
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
Chance of snow after 2am. Mostly cloudy, breezy.
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
S
Today 7-8 Temp: 
43
Today 8-9 Temp: 
25
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
31
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
17
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
29
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
17
28
28
46
35
44
0
0
27.5
27.5
41
33.5
55.16
0
0
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
27.5
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
27.5
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
38.5
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
32.5
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
10.5
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
12
Grey Butte Wind Gust Max: 
24.54
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
WNW
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
34
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
21.5
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
45
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
33
Castle Lake Snow Depth: 
26
Castle Lake Snow New: 
0
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
28
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
27.5
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
42
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
35
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
3.5
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
3.5
Mount Eddy Wind Gust Max: 
5.78
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
WSW
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
36.02
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
25.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
23
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
25.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
24.5
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
22
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
18.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
31.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
26.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
11
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
15.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Gust Max: 
27.53
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
WSW
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
36
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
29
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
51
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
41.5
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
3
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
0.5
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
N
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
5.5
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
9
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
0.5
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
2
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
4
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
9
Sand Flat Snow Settlement: 
1
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0
Castle Lake Snow Settlement: 
1.1
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
0.2
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0.1
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
15.06
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
28.34
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
53
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
0.66
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
3.40
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
19
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
1.71
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
16.10
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
10
Today SWE: 
0.00
Tonight SWE: 
0.03
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.29
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
10
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
10
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
10
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
15
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
25
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
20
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
5
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
15
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
10
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
2.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
5.00
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
1.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
3.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
3.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
6.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
1.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
3.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
44.09
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Low
Current Time: 
4:00 AM