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Forecast Addendum - 12/11/2021 - 07:00am

Submitted by nmeyers on Sat, 12/11/2021 - 5:58am
Recent Observations: 

Take a close look at the current snowpack situation on Mt. Shasta. Above treeline where snow remains are the best areas for new avalanche problems this weekend. Snow surfaces are smooth and firm.



12.10.21 - Photo: N Meyers

Prior to today's storm onset, the only usable snowpack in the forecast area is above treeline on Mount Shasta. Snow depths have been holding steady with about 10-20 inches of snow near treeline at the Old Ski Bowl weather station. Most ridgelines and southerly aspects are melted out below 8,500 feet. These areas will begin to build a winter snowpack. Exposed talus, boulders, trees and stumps dominate near and below treeline terrain. The snowpack in the Castle Lake area, Eddy Mountains and east of Mount Shasta is close to none, and will just begin to build a base this weekend also.

Mountain Weather: 

It's time to stop the talking and start the walking. A series of wet and cold low pressure systems will move across Northern California Saturday through Tuesday, resulting in heavy snowfall and significant travel problems. A winter storm warning has been issued by the NWS and is in effect from 1pm this afternoon to 10pm PST Monday. Hurricane force winds above treeline are expected through Sunday night out of the south/southwest. Precipitation forecasts on Mt. Shasta predict 8-9 inches of water over the next 6 days. Snow levels will fluctuate between 3 and 4,000 feet. By next week, feet of snow should be on the ground. Temperatures will remain cool, with highs in the mid to high twenties. Hang on to your hat, folks. "Toto, I have a feeling we're not in Kansas anymore"!

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Cloudy, windy, snow likely after 11am
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
South
Today 8-9 Weather: 
Mostly cloudy, snow, windy
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
West
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
Snow, heavy at times, windy
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
South
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
Snow, heavy at times, windy
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
Southwest
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Snow, heavy at times, windy
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
South
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
Snow, heavy at times, windy
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
Southwest
Today 7-8 Temp: 
24
Today 8-9 Temp: 
22
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
26
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
13
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
23
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
17
26
15
27
24
0
0
21
13.5
28.5
21.5
20.69
0
0
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
18.5
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
14.5
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
27
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
20.5
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
22.5
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
22.5
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
W
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
25
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
19
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
28.5
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
24.5
Castle Lake Snow Depth: 
1.64
Castle Lake Snow New: 
0
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
24
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
18
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
29.5
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
24
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
1.5
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
2.5
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
2
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
22
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
14.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
26
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
20.5
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
15.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
10
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
24
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
17.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
16
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
17
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
35
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
28
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
43
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
34
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
7
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
7
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
N
Sand Flat Comments: 
snow depth down
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
1
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
0
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0
Castle Lake Snow Settlement: 
0
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
9.36
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
7.76
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
121
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
0.06
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
2.13
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
3
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
25.31
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
33.14
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
76
Today SWE: 
1.19
Tonight SWE: 
1.08
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.65
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
20
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
30
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
20
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
20
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
50
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
65
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
50
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
40
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
55
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
40
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
12.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
14.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
7.00
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
8.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
10.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
3.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
8.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
20.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
9.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
4.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
14.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
5.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
15.24
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Considerable
Current Time: 
4:00 AM