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Forecast Addendum - 12/15/2022 - 07:00am

Submitted by nmeyers on Thu, 12/15/2022 - 5:43am
Recent Observations: 

It's on out there, but not game on. Overall height of snow on Mount Shasta and east of the mountain averages ~50-60 inches. Over on the west side, snow depths are less, averaging ~40 inches. Whacking an earthy object is still possible, but chances are becoming less so, especially as recent storm snow sets up. No precipitation has fallen from the sky since last weekend (12-11-22), so expect some snow funk out there. Yesterday, temperatures were ~10 degrees warmer on the mountain than in Mount Shasta City. Up along Green Butte Ridge and Broadway (south side via Bunny Flat), it was warm. Trees were actively bombing and dripping onto the snowpack below. Glop monsters stuck to the bottom of ski skins. Roller balls trickled down sunny slopes. It was warm mashed tater pow below treeline. Skiing back down, one had to chase shade to avoid a scorpion, over the handle bars type crash from the sticky snow. Today, a crust is certain on lower elevation, sunny slopes. Above treeline, a stiff wind was observed most of the day, with wind blowing snow over the ridges. Snow surfaces and skiing was better, consisting of soft, wind packed snow. No recent avalanches or signs of instability have been observed this week. 

Mountain Weather: 

Northerly flow aloft continues. Colder than normal weather will persist for at least the next few days. Sun angles are low this time of year as we approach the winter solstice on December 21st. Temperature inversions are likely today, with air stagnation concerns in the valleys. If this situation doesn't mix out, expect temperatures similar to yesterday...chilly, jacket weather in town and warmer, base layer weather up on the mountain. The wind doesn't look notable and overall, similar conditions are expected into this weekend. Weather models maintain potential for unsettled weather next week, but mostly for areas north of Mount Shasta. More to come on that later. Have a great day!



 

NWS Climate Prediction Center

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Sunny
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
NE
Today 8-9 Weather: 
Sunny
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NE
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
Sunny
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
E
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
Sunny
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
S
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Clear
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
NE
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
Clear
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
N
Today 7-8 Temp: 
35
Today 8-9 Temp: 
27
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
35
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
23
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
24
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
16
19
19
34
27
30
28
41.5
33
58.79
0
0
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
34.5
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
30
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
40.5
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
34.5
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
3
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
17
Grey Butte Wind Gust Max: 
36.8
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
WNW
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
26.5
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
24
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
35
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
28.5
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
32.5
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
29
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
41
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
35
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
2
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
2.5
Mount Eddy Wind Gust Max: 
5.34
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
SW
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
40.24
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
24
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
22
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
32.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
27.5
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
18
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
17.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
30
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
24.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
4.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
12.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Gust Max: 
16.36
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
20
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
20
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
32
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
25.5
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
3
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
8
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
1.5
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
N
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
0
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
6
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
1
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
1.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
4
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0.8
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
1.3
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
5.91
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
8.65
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
68
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
2.58
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
3.02
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
85
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
13.86
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
34.03
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
41
Today SWE: 
0.00
Tonight SWE: 
0.00
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.00
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
10
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
10
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
10
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
0
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
0
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
0
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
25
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
20
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
10
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
15
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
10
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
0
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
56
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Low
Current Time: 
4:00 AM