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Forecast Addendum - 12/21/2021 - 07:00am

Submitted by abeverly on Tue, 12/21/2021 - 6:45am
Recent Observations: 

Overall, the snowpack is stable and right side up. Some evidence of a weak, sugary layer has been found where old snow existed before 12/11, but it does not seem to be widespread or consistent. Medium failures were seen on this layer out at Ash Creek Butte yesterday, but with no propagation. Blowing snow was observed, but no wind slabs were forming. No other signs of instability or avalanches were seen.

Snow surfaces are variable - low density, chalky, wind textured and hardened, thin sun crusts. Shady and north facing areas hold the best snow for sliding and riding.

Pilgrim Creek and Deer Mountain Snowmobile Parks are open. Road 19 has thin, icy snow until the first fork. After that, there's plenty of usable snow. No obstructions along the trails were encountered out to Ash Creek Butte. The snowpack out there is still thin, and you'll be tempted to get your snowmobile on edge, but we'd advise against it. There are numerous obstacles lurking beneath the surface.

There has been no definitive word on Castle Lake Road.

Mountain Weather: 

When it comes to atmospheric pressure, "high" has become a four letter word 'round these parts. It tends to bring clear, dry weather. Well say "hello" to low pressure. It's going to be a welcome guest visiting over the holidays - maybe even until New Year's. With it, expect a daily dose of snow and a southerly flow, which means forecasted precipitation numbers are likely to materialize.

Today and tonight's dose could bring 4 inches at higher elevations. Snow levels will be 3700 - 4000 ft. Snow will mostly fall late in the afternoon and night. Southerly winds will be moderate to strong and may even reach hurricane force above treeline.

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Snow likely after 10 a.m. Partly sunny. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
S
Today 8-9 Weather: 
Snow, mainly after 4 p.m. Windy. Low wind chills. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
S
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
Snow, mainly after 10 a.m. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
S
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
Snow showers, mainly after 10am. Windy. Low wind chills. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Snow likely, mainly before 4 a.m. Mostly cloudy. Chance of precipitation is 70%
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
S
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
Chance of snow showers after 10 p.m. Windy. Low wind chills. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Today 7-8 Temp: 
31
Today 8-9 Temp: 
19
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
29
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
15
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
24
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
9
30
27
33
30
0
0
30
25.5
31
28.5
54.02
0
0
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
27
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
22.5
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
29.5
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
25.5
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
11
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
14.5
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
SSE
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
31
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
24.5
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
31
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
28
Castle Lake Snow Depth: 
30.2
Castle Lake Snow New: 
0
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
31.5
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
26
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
31.5
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
28
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
2.5
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
2.5
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
32.43
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
30
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
24.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
30.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
27
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
27
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
19.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
27
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
23
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
18.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
21
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
SSE
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
25
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
25
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
42
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
34.5
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
4
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
N
Sand Flat Comments: 
State owned station, down
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
8.5
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
1.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
8
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
2
Castle Lake Snow Settlement: 
0.9
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
1.2
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement: 
1
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
12.13
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
9.94
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
122
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
2.83
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
4.31
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
66
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
28.08
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
35.32
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
80
Today SWE: 
0.11
Tonight SWE: 
0.08
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.63
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
20
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
15
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
50
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
40
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
50
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
40
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
30
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
40
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
2.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
1.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
7.00
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
3.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
3.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
1.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
8.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
1.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
4.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
34.79
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Low
Current Time: 
6:00 AM