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Forecast Addendum - 12/30/2021 - 07:00am

Submitted by nmeyers on Thu, 12/30/2021 - 6:14am
Recent Observations: 

We've been getting a good dose of freezing fog over the past two days, with some light snow in between. A widespread crust has formed on almost all aspects below and near treeline by freezing fog that rolled into the area on December 28th. These crusts are increasingly formidable at lower elevations below treeline, but begins to disappear above 7,500 to 8,000 feet. It's a bit of a crust sandwich. On top of the snowpack, a wafer thin crust resides. Below, 1-2 inches of low density snow sits on top of the stoutest of the two crusts. Above and below the bottom crust layer, low density, weak snow remains. Confused? Check out this photo...

The height of snow at the Old Ski Bowl is 79 inches.  The mean temperature was 16 ºF, the low 10, and the high 26. Winds were light and variable, but have picked up out of the NW this morning. At Castle Lake (the road is now OPEN), snow depth there measured 73 inches near the bottom of Left Peak.

A couple of small (D1), isolated avalanches have been seen, but very little evidence of instabilities have been witnessed aside from sensitive cornices. Visibility and wind has kept most observers away from above treeline elevations, so some uncertainty exists up there. 

Mountain Weather: 

We're in for a break in precipitation over the next couple of days, but hang on to your hats because things are going to get a little western in alpine terrain. Northwest wind will increase this morning and settle in for a good blow through Saturday morning. Expect wind speeds 50+ mi/hr above treeline on Mount Shasta and exposed terrain elsewhere. The wind will begin to die off Saturday and switch to more southwest to west flow. This switch will signal the start of a warmer pattern bringing periods of high impact weather beginning Sunday and into next week. More on those storms later. Yee-haw, rid'em cow-poker!

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Partly cloudy, slight chance of snow, little to no accumulation, northwest wind increasing
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
W
Today 8-9 Weather: 
A 10% chance of snow after 4 PM. Widespread blowing snow, partly cloudy, windy, cold
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
Partly cloudy, blustery north wind, patchy blowing snow
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
NW
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
Partly cloudy, widespread blowing snow, windy, cold
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
N
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Mostly cloudy, 20% chance of snow, windy
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
W
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
A 20% chance of snow before 10 PM. Widespread blowing snow, mostly cloudy, windy, cold
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Today 7-8 Temp: 
26
Today 8-9 Temp: 
18
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
26
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
26
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
21
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
17
12
9
25
17
0
0
15
10
26
15.5
79.83
0.2
0.08
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
13
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
12
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
24.5
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
16
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
16
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
16
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
W
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
20.5
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
17.5
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
26
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
20.5
Castle Lake Snow Depth: 
44.41
Castle Lake Snow New: 
0
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
19
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
9.5
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
24
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
17
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
2.5
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
3
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
51.91
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
15
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
14
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
21
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
17
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
11
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
8.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
21
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
13.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
22
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
15
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
34
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
26
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
3
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
N
Sand Flat Comments: 
State owned station, down
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
0
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
1
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
0
Sand Flat Snow Settlement: 
0
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0
Castle Lake Snow Settlement: 
1.1
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
3
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0.3
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
13.35
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
11.84
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
113
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
4.05
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
6.21
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
65
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
29.3
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
37.22
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
79
Today SWE: 
0.00
Tonight SWE: 
0.00
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.00
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
20
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
45
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
55
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
60
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
35
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
45
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
50
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
0.50
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
47.13
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Low
Current Time: 
4:00 AM