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Forecast Addendum 1/28/2023 - 07:00am

Submitted by nmeyers on Sat, 01/28/2023 - 6:12am
Recent Observations: 

It's that time of year again for the California Cooperative Snow Surveys (CCSS). The CCSS program provides mountain snowpack data and streamflow forecasts for the western United States. It is a partnership of more than 50 state, federal and private agencies. The agencies share a pool of expert staff and program funding, which collects, analyzes and disseminates snow data from more than 265 snow courses and 130 snow sensors located throughout the Sierra Nevada and Shasta-Trinity mountains. Common applications of snow survey products include water supply management, flood control, climate modeling, recreation and conservation planning. Yesterday, the Deadfall Lakes, Sweetwater and Parks courses were completed by Forest Service personnel. We will post the results when all surveys are completed. Overall in the Eddy Mountains, the snow line lingers near 5,000 feet, about 3.5 miles up the FS17 road from Stewart Springs. Most snow surfaces are variable, wind and sun affected. A soft, breakable crust with near surface facets below exists in some areas. North wind was moderate and gusty. Blowing snow was visible, but snow available for wind transport minimal. Small, shallow wind slabs were observed on leeward, southerly slopes, but unreactive to trigger. A few signs of old avalanches were observed on east and northwest facing slopes near and above treeline, respectively. A ski party was able to find some poor man's powder on shaded, sheltered slopes near and below treeline. Over the past 24 hours on Mount Shasta, temperatures have ranged from 20° to 38° with wind blowing predominantly out of the N-NW, averaging 12 mi/hr with gusts to 61 mi/hr. No red flags of avalanche danger have been observed and no reports of avalanches have come in since Monday, January 23rd. The Everitt Memorial Highway and Bunny Flat trailhead are open. Release the hounds.



Photo: Bunny Flat trailhead and the Everitt Memorial Highway are open after nearly a month of closure due to intense winter storms / Meyers

Mountain Weather: 

An arctic front will pass through the area tonight, with very light precipitation possible. Little to no accumulation is expected locally. The attention grabber is the cold temp and wind combination for the latter half of the weekend. Wind will increase beginning late tonight. Gusty wind blowing out of the northwest is expected during the day on Sunday, with cold temperatures. Wind chill will be significant and well into the negatives above treeline on Mount Shasta. Wind will weaken Sunday night as the coldest air of the season settles over the region. Temperatures will moderate after Monday, but still below normal. Weak high pressure will linger through next Thursday. Next weekend, long range models indicate a wetter storm track across the region.



Today 7-8 Weather : 
Sunny
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
N
Today 8-9 Weather: 
Sunny and windy
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
Partly cloudy, becoming sunny
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
N
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
Partly cloudy, becoming sunny, windy
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NE
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Partly to mostly cloudy
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
NW
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
Partly cloudy, windy
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Today 7-8 Temp: 
34
Today 8-9 Temp: 
24
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
25
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
13
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
15
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
2
18
18
36
28
102
0
0
19
19
23
21.5
145
0
0
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
24.5
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
20.5
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
38.5
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
30.5
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
5.5
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
31
Grey Butte Wind Gust Max: 
61.34
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
NNW
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
23.5
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
23.5
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
41.5
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
33.5
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
28
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
24.5
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
40
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
31.5
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
1.5
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
4.5
Mount Eddy Wind Gust Max: 
8.25
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
SE
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
103.3
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
24
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
22
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
32.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
26.5
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
23.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
18.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
30
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
23.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
14
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
25.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Gust Max: 
37.13
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
SSW
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
29
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
29
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
52
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
39
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
8
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
3
Sand Flat Comments: 
Not responding
Ski Bowl Comments: 
Not responding
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
4.5
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
12.5
Caslte Lake Comments: 
snow depth sensor down
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
1.5
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
3
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
8
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
18
Sand Flat Snow Settlement: 
1
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
1
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
1.2
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
25.88
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
17.7
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
146
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
16.75
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
5.46
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
307
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
16.75
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
5.46
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
307
Today SWE: 
0.00
Tonight SWE: 
0.00
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.00
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
10
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
10
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
30
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
30
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
40
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
20
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
20
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
30
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
118
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Low
Current Time: 
4:00 AM