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Forecast Addendum 2/09/2023 - 07:00am

Submitted by nmeyers on Thu, 02/09/2023 - 6:12am
Recent Observations: 

Yesterday hosted fair weather with calm wind below treeline and light to moderate wind near and above treeline. On the upper ramparts of Mount Shasta, a lenticular cloud capped the mountain for most of the day, and we surmise that the wind was cranking up there. Blowing snow from the northwest wind was visible from below, collecting on southerly aspects. While some snow is moving around from the wind, snow available for wind transport is minimal. Much of above treeline and alpine terrain is scoured to old snow and ice. Smooth, slick surfaces dominate and should not be taken lightly for climbers. Warmer temperatures have definitely softened snow surfaces below and near treeline. Minor roller ball action was observed on sunny slopes. With a good freeze, a crust is likely in our near future. Soft, albeit moist snow still remains out there, but you'll have to hunt a little harder for it in the coming days. You know where to look! Think shade and protected. 

Despite all the wind, no red flags of avalanche danger have presented. In the past 24 hours, temperatures have ranged from 31° to 43° F. Wind has blow predominantly out of the northwest, with a 12-hour session out of the southeast. Wind speeds have averaged 11 mi/hr with gusts to 61 mi/hr, recorded at our Gray Butte weather station at 8,000 feet. Near treeline on Mount Shasta, 130 inches of snow is on the ground. Height of snow elsewhere: Eddy Mtns - 104 inches / Ash Creek Butte - 119 inches



Photos taken on 2.8.23 from the east side of Mount Shasta. The Tri-Forest Snowmobile Trail system via Pilgrim Creek Sno-Park are in great shape and grooming is active. The coverage is awesome and soft snow is widespread, though icy in the mornings below treeline. The Esperanza road has been graded, but still in rough shape and muddy. Deer Mountain Sno-Park accesses this area also, and the road is paved. [Meyers]

 

Mountain Weather: 

High pressure is keeping the area mostly clear and dry today. Sunny skies and above normal temperatures can be expected. Late this afternoon and evening, cloud cover will begin to build into the region. Southwest wind will increase over higher terrain. As the upper level trough moves onshore tonight, showers will spread across the area Friday. Precipitation amounts will be minimal. Snow levels will hover around 3,500 to 4,000 feet. We can expect 2 inches or less in the mountains and less than an inch elsewhere. Showers will taper off Friday evening. Clear and dry conditions will host the weekend, then another system arrives Monday into Tuesday.



 

 

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Sunny
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
SE
Today 8-9 Weather: 
Sunny and windy
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
Partly cloudy, 20% chance of snow after 4pm. Snow level near 4,700 feet
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
SE
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
A 30% chance of snow after 4pm. Windy
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Mostly clear
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
S
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
Mostly clear, windy
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Today 7-8 Temp: 
42
Today 8-9 Temp: 
28
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
33
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
21
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
25
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
15
26
25
42
31
103
0
0
33.5
31
43
36
130
0
0.38
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
35
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
32
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
39
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
35
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
9
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
31.5
Grey Butte Wind Gust Max: 
61.34
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
SE
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
37.5
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
32.5
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
44
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
38.5
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
29.5
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
29
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
43.5
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
36.5
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
3
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
3.5
Mount Eddy Wind Gust Max: 
6.61
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
WSW
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
105
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
33.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
24
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
41
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
31.5
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
34
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
24.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
35.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
31.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
1.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
16.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Gust Max: 
24.01
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
SSW
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
30
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
28
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
52
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
37.5
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
3
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
7
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
2.5
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
N
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
1.5
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
11
Caslte Lake Comments: 
Snow depth sensor down
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
1
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
2.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
1.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
10.5
Sand Flat Snow Settlement: 
1
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
1.5
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
1
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement: 
1
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
26.82
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
20.09
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
133
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
0.94
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
1.56
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
60
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
17.69
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
7.85
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
225
Today SWE: 
0.00
Tonight SWE: 
0.00
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.01
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
30
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
50
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
40
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
20
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
40
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
30
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
0.50
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
0.50
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
120
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Low
Current Time: 
4:00 AM