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Forecast Addendum 2/21/2023 - 07:00am

Submitted by efalconer on Tue, 02/21/2023 - 5:44am
Recent Observations: 

The most notable observations from Gray Butte yesterday were the variety in surface conditions created by the previous winds and warm temperatures. These surfaces include wind-scoured snow, melt-freeze crust, ice glaze, and soft snow. All of which can be found near and above treeline. The recent balmy days, stable weather conditions, and lack of precipitation have allowed the snowpack to settle largely. A lack of overnight freezing temperatures has created slushy and wet snow on the majority of aspects below treeline.

Photo: E.Falconer. A brittle melt-freeze crust will host as a common bed surface on southerly aspects near and above treeline.  

 

Mountain Weather: 

A winter weather advisory is in place for the Mount Shasta region until late Wednesday night. An impactful low-pressure weather system descending from the northwest is on our doorstep. This cold front will create periods of heavy snowfall and well below-freezing temperatures with negative wind chill values. Radically strong high-elevation winds are expected with the passing of this front. In the last 24 hours mountain temperatures have remained above freezing levels with an average of 42° F. Winds blowing from the northwest have increased averaging 16 mph with a max gust of 92 mph. As of 5 am, no new snow has been recorded.

 

 

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Partly cloudy, with a 20 percent chance of snow showers. Windy with gusts as high as 47 mph. Freezing level 3,000 feet
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
NW
Today 8-9 Weather: 
A 50 percent chance of snow showers, mainly after 10am. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. Wind chill values as low as -33. Wind gusts as high as 115 mph
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
A 40 percent chance of snow showers, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, wind chill values as low as -12. Wind gusts as high as 50 mph. Freezing level 1,000 feet
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
W
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
A 50 percent chance of snow showers, mainly after 10am. Widespread blowing snow, mainly before 10am. Wind chill values as low as -38. Wind gusts as high as 60 mph
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
A 50 percent chance of snow showers, mainly after 10am. The snow could be heavy at times. Wind chill values as low as -3. Wind gusts as high as 60 mph. Freezing level 1,000 feet
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
NW
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
A 40 percent chance of snow showers, mainly before 10pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. Wind chill values as low as -38. Wind gusts as high as 80 mph
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Today 7-8 Temp: 
32
Today 8-9 Temp: 
19
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
23
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
8
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
14
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
-1
36
31
47
40
97
0
0
40
35
48.5
42.5
121.4
0
0.02
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
35
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
34.5
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
44.5
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
40.5
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
48.5
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
48.5
Grey Butte Wind Gust Max: 
79.77
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
SE
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
37.5
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
37.5
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
45.5
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
42.5
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
35
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
34.5
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
44.5
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
41
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
2.5
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
4
Mount Eddy Wind Gust Max: 
7.48
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
SE
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
99.7
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
42.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
34
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
42.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
36.5
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
29
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
29
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
40
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
34
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
34.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
34.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Gust Max: 
48.98
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
S
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
50
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
38
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
59
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
49
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
8
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
9
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
4
Ski Bowl Comments: 
water content n/a
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
4
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
14.5
Caslte Lake Comments: 
Snow depth sensor down
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
2
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
3
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
8
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
17
Sand Flat Snow Settlement: 
1
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
1.1
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
0.5
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
26.97
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
22.74
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
119
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
1.09
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
4.21
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
26
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
17.84
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
10.5
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
170
Today SWE: 
0.04
Tonight SWE: 
0.10
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.03
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
30
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
25
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
20
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
20
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
15
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
60
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
50
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
35
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
50
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
40
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
25
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
5.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
7.00
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
3.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
3.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
8.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
7.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
4.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
4.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
3.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
2.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
174.7
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Considerable
Current Time: 
3:00 AM