Submitted by casey.glaubman@... on Thu, 03/02/2023 - 5:12am
Recent Observations:
With all the recent snow and high winds, we expected to find evidence of instability, particularly on the upper mountain. We found evidence of wind-loading on S-SE aspects, though without any of the accompanying red flags (cracking, collapsing, whumphing) that one would expect given recent conditions. At treeline and slightly below, we found wind-sculpted snow, with plenty more loose snow being transported during our time spent higher up on the mountain yesterday.
We did manage to top out Gray Butte during a period of clearing, giving us excellent views of the south and southeast sides of Mount Shasta. Particularly Casaval Ridge and the Old Ski Bowl. We were expecting (hoping?) to see crowns of naturally occuring avalanches, particularly on the higher mountain. Though the mountain was glorious as always, recent avalanches were nowhere to be seen.
Mountain Weather:
Looks like we've got a break in the weather for a few days but, stop me if you've heard this one, Saturday will bring another period of low-elevation snow with snow levels down around 500 feet on Saturday morning. The town of Mount Shasta could see another foot of snow on Saturday starting in the morning, with more precipitation in the evening through Sunday morning. We'll likely see more flurries throughtout the day on Sunday and on into Monday.
Weather models are in slight disagreement about what happens next week, though the consensus seems to be that we are in for below average temps and above average precipitation, at least through this weekend if not longer. We'll have a clearer view of next week as this weekend's storm starts to take shape.
Today 7-8 Weather :
Party sunny then chance of snow
Today 7-8 Wind Direction:
W-NW
Today 8-9 Weather:
Windy. Partly sunny then a chance of snow
Today 8-9 Wind Direction:
W-NW
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather:
Mostly sunny
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction:
SW
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather:
Mostly sunny and windy. Gusts to 80 mph
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction:
NW
Tonight 7-8 Weather:
Chance of snow then partly cloudy
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction:
N-NW
Tonight 8-9 Weather:
Windy. Chance of snow then partly cloudy. Gusts to 80 mph
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction:
W-NW
13
7
22
15
125
0
0
25
4.5
27
16.5
156.1
2.8
0.05
Grey Butte Temp Max:
29.5
Grey Butte Temp Avg:
16.5
Grey Butte Wind Max:
34.5
Grey Butte Wind Gust Max:
55.2
Castle Lake Temp Avg:
17.5
Mount Eddy Temp Cur:
31.5
Mount Eddy Temp Min:
10.5
Mount Eddy Temp Avg:
18.5
Mount Eddy Wind Gust Max:
6.38
Mount Eddy Snow Depth:
136.8
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur:
21
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min:
8
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max:
24
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg:
14
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New:
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur:
22.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min:
4.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max:
22.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg:
13
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur:
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max:
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Gust Max:
0
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur:
19
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min:
19
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max:
36
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg:
28
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur:
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min:
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max:
8
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg:
3.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min:
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg:
0
Sand Flat Snow Settlement:
3
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement:
0
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement:
4.7
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement:
2.9
Measured Precipitation Oct:
29.71
Normal Precipitation Oct:
24.94
Percent Precipitation Oct:
119
Measured Precipitation MTD:
3.83
Normal Precipitation MTD:
6.41
Percent Precipitation MTD:
60
Measured Precipitation YTD:
20.58
Normal Precipitation YTD:
12.7
Percent Precipitation YTD:
162
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9:
15
Tonight Wind Max 9-11:
60
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11:
55
Tonight Wind Min 9-11:
50
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11:
45
Tonight Snow Max 7-9:
0.50
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9:
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9:
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9:
0.00
Today Snow Max 9-11:
0.50
Tonight Snow Max 9-11:
0.50
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11:
0.00
Today Snow Min 9-11:
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11:
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11:
0.00
Weather Station Discussion:
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion:
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating:
Moderate
