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Forecast Addendum - 03/01/2022 - 07:00am

Submitted by abeverly on Tue, 03/01/2022 - 6:32am
Recent Observations: 


Whatever new snow remains from the meager storms we've received over the last week has been softened by warmer temperatures. Temperatures have averaged 37.5 ºF at the Old Ski Bowl over the last 24 hours. The height of snow is 58 inches.

A snow survey conducted at Deadfall Lakes yesterday saw an average snow depth of 27 inches and SWE of 11.6.

Our area has only received 3-5 inches of new snow since January 8th. The snowpack we do have is well-consolidated and stable. Avalanches have not been a concern for many weeks. 

The snow surface on Mount Shasta is a combination of the types generally ill-regarded for quality skiing or snowboarding. Below treeline a melt-freeze crust has developed. Near and above treeline the snow is more wind-affected, and alternates between stiff wind-board and breakable wind crust and large scoured areas where the old, very rough, very frozen snow surface dominates. Here and there one may find a turn or two of soft, wind rippled snow. There are lots of exposed rocks. The skiing and riding conditions are not good.

As for climbing conditions, expect the upper mountain to be scoured and icy. Whiteout conditions are possible. Slide for life falls are a real possibility. People have been summiting, but there have been incidents. It's still winter, and climbing conditions are more challenging than in spring or summer. The limited daylight and chances for bad weather increase the consequences of something going wrong. Carefully assess your experience level before embarking on a summit climb, and bring the necessary gear and knowledge to deal with an emergency and to survive on the mountain longer than anticipated in cold and windy conditions.


Mountain Weather: 

Mostly cloudy and partly sunny conditions will prevail over the next couple of days. There's a slight chance of precipitation tomorrow afternoon, though snow levels will be above 7,000 ft. We might get an inch out of it at high elevations. Southerly winds will range from light to strong as you transition to above treeline regions.

Thursday and Friday may bring a few inches of snow as snow levels drop below 5,000 ft.

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Mostly cloudy.
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
S
Today 8-9 Weather: 
Mostly cloudy. Windy.
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
A slight chance of rain and snow after 4 p.m. Partly sunny. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
S
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
A 10 percent chance of snow after 4 p.m. Partly sunny. Very windy.
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Mostly cloudy. Blustery.
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
S
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
Mostly cloudy. Very Windy.
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Today 7-8 Temp: 
46
Today 8-9 Temp: 
33
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
43
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
30
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
36
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
27
35
34
47
39
45
0
0
36
32.5
43.5
37.5
58.49
0
0
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
34.5
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
30.5
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
39.5
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
35
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
13
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
20
Grey Butte Wind Gust Max: 
36.8
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
W
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
38
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
36.5
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
55
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
43
Castle Lake Snow Depth: 
30.76
Castle Lake Snow New: 
0
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
36.5
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
35
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
44.5
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
39
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
1
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
2
Mount Eddy Wind Gust Max: 
4.39
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
S
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
36.22
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
35
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
32
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
40.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
37
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
30
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
28
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
37.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
33
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
7
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
15.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Gust Max: 
33.09
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
S
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
39
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
34
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
63
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
49.5
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
4
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
1
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
N
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
11
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
14.5
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
1
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
1.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
5.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
9.5
Sand Flat Snow Settlement: 
0
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
2.2
Castle Lake Snow Settlement: 
2
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
1
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0.7
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
14.4
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
24.94
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
58
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
0.09
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
6.41
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
1
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
1.05
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
12.7
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
8
Today SWE: 
0.00
Tonight SWE: 
0.00
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.10
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
30
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
35
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
40
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
25
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
30
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
35
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
0.50
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
1.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
41.95
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Low
Current Time: 
6:00 AM