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Forecast Addendum - 12/18/2022 - 07:00am

Submitted by mmadden on Sun, 12/18/2022 - 4:26am
Recent Observations: 

Avalanche problems in the area have been absent the past few days. Most field observations have centered around snow surface conditions and the ease or difficulty of backcountry travel. Current conditions are a mix bag of everything under the sun. South aspects near and above treeline have a stout sun crust making skinning difficult. Areas of soft unconsolidated snow can be found in protected spots, particularly W-NW-N-NE aspects. Wind-scoured terrain and sastrugi abounds above treeline. Below treeline, shaded areas harbor dry low-density snow while sunny areas hold wet crusty snow. Surface hoar can be found glistening in sheltered locations.

When the weather is nice but conditions are variable, it's a good time to brush up on your avalanche rescue skills. So grab a buddy, bury a backpack containing a beacon, and get to searching! Personally, I like to make it a game, challenging my friends and family to see who can find and probe the beacon the fastest. Slowest person pays for gas to the trailhead! Want help practicing your rescue skills? Need a refresher on the process? Attend our FREE companion rescue course Sunday, January 8th, 2023 at Bunny Flat. Come get hands-on practice, personalized instruction from the experts, and leave with all your questions answered!



Source: AIARE

Any climbers out there? Undoubtedly, the high pressure and low avalanche danger has lured a few into the possibility of climbing the mountain. The main crux for climbers is still soft, unconsolidated snow. Skis, splitboard, or snowshoes are mandatory to prevent arduous post-holing. When the terrain becomes too steep to skin, that's where the real work begins. Two days ago at 10,000 feet on Green Butte Ridge I sank in calf deep. So...climbing is possible, the weather is nice, the avalanche danger low...but the post-holing situation is extreme! Remember too, the days are short, the nights are cold and the wind chill factor on the upper mountain can be severe. A winter climb of Mt. Shasta is a different beast. Be prepared. Also, be sure to get your wilderness permit and summit pass prior to attempting a climb.

Mountain Weather: 

The region continues to experience an inversion with temperatures measuring about 10 degrees colder in town compared to the Old Ski Bowl. This has also continued the air stagnation advisory for low-lying valleys. Driving the inversion is a broad high pressure system currently situated over the region. Weather today should be similar to yesterday with mild temperatures, sunny weather, and light winds. Models are showing a slight break-up of the high pressure system the first half of this week. This should bring some cloud cover and a 40% change of snow Tuesday and Wednesday. For now, get out and enjoy the sunshine and nice temperatures!





Temperature inversion basics / Source: NWS Missoula

 

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Sunny. Freezing level 6,300'
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
W
Today 8-9 Weather: 
Mostly sunny.
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
Mostly cloudy. Freezing level 6,100'
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
SW
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
Partly cloudy.
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
W
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Partly cloudy. Freezing level 6,000'
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
W
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
Mostly sunny.
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Today 7-8 Temp: 
35
Today 8-9 Temp: 
24
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
32
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
17
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
23
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
10
17
17
33
23
27.5
27.5
39.5
31.5
55.6
0
0
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
30
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
29.5
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
38
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
33
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
6
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
14.5
Grey Butte Wind Gust Max: 
30.66
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
WNW
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
30.5
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
27.5
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
37.5
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
31.5
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
27.5
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
23.5
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
38.5
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
29.5
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
1.5
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
4
Mount Eddy Wind Gust Max: 
4.6
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
WSW
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
37
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
24.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
22
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
32.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
26.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
25.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
25.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
34
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
29
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
8
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
12.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Gust Max: 
20.06
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
W
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
18
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
15
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
37
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
25
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
5
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
1.5
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
N
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
0
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
4
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
0.5
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
2
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
8.5
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
1
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
0.9
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
5.91
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
9.3
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
64
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
2.58
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
3.67
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
70
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
13.86
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
34.68
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
40
Today SWE: 
0.00
Tonight SWE: 
0.00
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.00
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
9
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
12
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
11
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
3
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
6
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
24
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
33
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
27
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
17
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
27
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
21
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Low
Current Time: 
3:00 AM