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Forecast Addendum - 12/28/2022 - 07:00am

Submitted by casey.glaubman@... on Wed, 12/28/2022 - 3:58am
Recent Observations: 

Our observations yesterday revealed a snowpack that is much more stable than expected. We had anticipated that prior snowfall and winds would lead to areas of instability and potential wind slabs. Our observers found that the warm, heavy snow bonded well to the existing rain crust from December 23rd. The crust is still prevalent at all aspects, about 15 cm below the surface of the snow.

Above treeline, we didn't find the 14 inches of new snow that had been reported by the Old Ski Bowl weather station. This was one of those examples of going into the field armed with data, an idea of what to expect, and then finding almost the complete opposite. But it's a good reminder to always check what you're expecting to see with what's actually in front of your eyes and, perhaps more importantly, under your feet.

Mountain Weather: 

Well folks, we're not out of it just yet. Today should see a lull in storm activity this morning, but don't let that fool you. Our winter weather advisory remains in effect, with winds on the upper mountain expected to reach back up into the 40-60 mph range this afternoon. Along with those winds we should see an increase in precipitation, with between 9-17 inches of snow predicted to fall on the upper mountain between Wednesday night and Thursday. This last storm system had snow levels of about 6,000 feet, but this next system should bring colder temperatures and a snow level dropping to about 3,500 feet. Expect some lower density snow at higher elevations which, coupled with the high winds, will see an increase in snow transport.

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Mostly sunny then slight chance of snow showers. Freezing level ~5,200'
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
W
Today 8-9 Weather: 
Slight chance of snow showers and patching, blowing snow
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
Snow and windy. Freezing level ~3,100'
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
S
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
Heavy snow and blowing snow
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Snow and breezy. Freezing level ~3,500'
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
SE
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
Heavy snow and blowing snow
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Today 7-8 Temp: 
28
Today 8-9 Temp: 
14
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
28
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
18
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
24
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
14
23
23
32
28
44
0
0
18.5
18
29
24
61.11
2.3
0.41
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
17
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
17
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
27.5
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
22.5
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
23
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
36
Grey Butte Wind Gust Max: 
55.2
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
WNW
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
27
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
27
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
36
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
32
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
22
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
21.5
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
31
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
26.5
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
1
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
2.5
Mount Eddy Wind Gust Max: 
7.1
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
SSE
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
40.14
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
3.6
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
20
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
20
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
31.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
26
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
17
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
17
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
27
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
21.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Gust Max: 
0.04
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
31
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
31
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
48
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
39
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
4
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
1
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
N
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
19
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
26
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
0.5
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
1.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
0
Sand Flat Snow Settlement: 
0
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
0
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
7.76
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
11.43
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
68
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
4.43
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
5.8
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
76
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
15.71
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
36.81
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
43
Today SWE: 
0.00
Tonight SWE: 
0.02
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.45
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
20
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
25
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
25
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
15
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
65
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
55
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
70
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
55
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
40
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
60
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
4.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
8.00
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
2.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
4.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
7.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
10.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
3.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
6.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
53.36
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Low
Current Time: 
3:00 AM