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Forecast Addendum 1/17/2023 - 07:00am

Submitted by efalconer on Tue, 01/17/2023 - 4:24am
Recent Observations: 

Yesterday’s splendid visibility lent its hand to gathering some significant observations. The upper mountain displayed large panels of wind-textured snow. Near treeline, evidence of old storm slab avalanches were spotted on steep west facing slopes. On the upper mountain, I observed no old or recent avalanche activity. I found wind-loaded slopes near treeline on both west and east aspects. Test results found a thin, weak layer of snow about 50 cm down on a east aspect, and 90 cm down on a west aspect. Near and above treeline cornices have become very large along ridgelines. Yesterday, a forecaster near Ash Creek Butte experienced strong north wind blowing snow for several hours, creating shallow touchy wind slabs on the southern half of the compass, with a report of a human-triggered wind slab on a southeast face near treeline.  

 

 

Mountain Weather: 

Winter is here to stay in Mount Shasta. Today’s stable weather means sunny blue skies, calm wind out of the north around 5 to 10 mph, and temperatures hovering in the lower 30s. However, this pattern will change tonight into Wednesday as a cold front moves quickly across the region, bringing moderate south and southwesterly winds, temperatures in the mid-20s with freezing levels around 3,000 ft and 2 to 4 inches of snow possible at higher elevations by late Wednesday. 

   

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Sunny, with a high near 28. Winds from the north shifting to the northwest in afternoon. Wind speeds 5 to 15 mph. Freezing level near 4,500 ft
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
N
Today 8-9 Weather: 
Sunny, with a high near 15. Wind chill values as low as -10. North northwest wind 7 to 21 mph
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
A 50 percent chance of snow before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20. Snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches, Freezing level near 2,700 ft
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
SW
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
Snow, mainly between 10am and 4pm. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 12. Wind chill values as low as -15. Breezy southwest wind 12 to 25 mph with gusts of 50 mph
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
SW
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. North northwest wind around 6 mph. Slight chance of snow showers after midnight. Freezing level near 3,700 ft
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
SE
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 8. Wind chill values as low as -14. West wind 13 to 20 mph
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Today 7-8 Temp: 
30
Today 8-9 Temp: 
16
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
20
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
12
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
23
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
9
12
11
28
19
118
0
0
12
11.5
30
17
152.2
0
0
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
14
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
13.5
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
26.5
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
18
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
2.5
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
9.5
Grey Butte Wind Gust Max: 
24.54
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
ENE
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
23
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
23
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
28
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
25
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
17
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
17
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
25
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
21
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
0
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
0
Mount Eddy Wind Gust Max: 
0
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
120.5
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
15.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
15.5
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
22
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
18.5
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
14
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
14
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
18.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
15.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Gust Max: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
32
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
30
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
38
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
34
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
8
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
3.5
Sand Flat Comments: 
Not responding
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
1
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
3.5
Caslte Lake Comments: 
snow depth sensor down
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
0
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
0
Sand Flat Snow Settlement: 
4
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
4.2
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
2.9
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement: 
16.4
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
25.62
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
15.59
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
164
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
16.49
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
3.35
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
492
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
16.49
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
3.35
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
492
Today SWE: 
0.00
Tonight SWE: 
0.00
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.23
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
25
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
21
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
25
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
30
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
7
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
10
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
10
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
5.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
3.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
0.50
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
3.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
1.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
5.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
2.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
5.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
3.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
1.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
158.3
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Considerable
Current Time: 
3:00 AM