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Forecast Addendum 2/14/2023 - 07:00am

Submitted by efalconer on Tue, 02/14/2023 - 5:48am
Recent Observations: 

Over the last 24 hours, winds have blown from the northwest, averaging a speed of 27 mph. Temperatures have stayed below freezing since 1500 (3:00 pm) yesterday.  Skies were mostly clear with low clouds developing late afternoon/evening. On a mission to Ash Creek Butte yesterday, Sam and I experienced strong to extreme northwest winds near treeline. Consistent snow transport was observed onto southerly aspects of Mount Shasta and Ash Creek Butte throughout the day. Winds were felt ripping through any exposed locations near and below treeline causing trees to break and lose their branches. Protected areas below treeline still fostered unaffected soft snow. Melt freeze crusts were found on southerly aspects in the morning, rebounding back to smooth and moist by mid-afternoon. 

Mountain Weather: 

As of 5 am this morning the Old Ski Bowl weather station has not recorded any new precipitation with the City of Mount Shasta weather station reporting a slight dusting. This will likely change in the morning hours, with 2 – 4 inches possible at the upper elevations. Moderate to strong northwest winds will gradually shift north to northeast over the next 24 hours. Temperatures have plummeted and will stay below freezing levels today and tonight as one of the coldest air masses of the season encroaches upon the region. Driving this cold air is an upper-level trough which will dig its way southeastwards today, with mountains north and west of the cascades forecasted to see the most significant weather impacts. Expect wind chill values as low as -7 with blowing snow and cloudy skies becoming clear by tonight. 

 

Today 7-8 Weather : 
Snow showers likely mainly before 10 am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny. Wind chill values as low as -7. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Freezing level around 1,000 feet
Today 7-8 Wind Direction: 
NW
Today 8-9 Weather: 
Snow showers, mainly before 10am. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Wind chill values as low as -41. Winds could gust as high as 95 mph
Today 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NW
Tomorrow 7-8 Weather: 
Sunny, with an east wind. Wind chill values as low as -4. Freezing level around 400 feet
Tomorrow 7-8 Wind Direction: 
E
Tomorrow 8-9 Weather: 
Sunny, with wind chill values as low as - 25. Winds could gust as high as 70 mph
Tomorrow 8-9 Wind Direction: 
N
Tonight 7-8 Weather: 
Mostly clear, with wind chill values as low as -5. Freezing level around 800 feet
Tonight 7-8 Wind Direction: 
N
Tonight 8-9 Weather: 
Mostly clear and windy. Wind chill values as low as -32
Tonight 8-9 Wind Direction: 
NE
Today 7-8 Temp: 
21
Today 8-9 Temp: 
6
Tomorrow 7-8 Temp: 
32
Tomorrow 8-9 Temp: 
20
Tonight 7-8 Temp: 
11
Tonight 8-9 Temp: 
-2
27
20
48
31
101
0
0
11.5
9
43.5
27
125.4
0
0
Grey Butte Temp Cur: 
10
Grey Butte Temp Min: 
9
Grey Butte Temp Max: 
39
Grey Butte Temp Avg: 
25.5
Grey Butte Wind Cur: 
3
Grey Butte Wind Max: 
59
Grey Butte Wind Gust Max: 
92.02
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
NW
Castle Lake Temp Cur: 
14.5
Castle Lake Temp Min: 
14.5
Castle Lake Temp Max: 
39.5
Castle Lake Temp Avg: 
30
Mount Eddy Temp Cur: 
10.5
Mount Eddy Temp Min: 
10.5
Mount Eddy Temp Max: 
39.5
Mount Eddy Temp Avg: 
25.5
Mount Eddy Wind Cur: 
3
Mount Eddy Wind Max: 
6
Mount Eddy Wind Gust Max: 
11.33
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
SE
Mount Eddy Snow Depth: 
103.6
Mount Eddy Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Cur: 
8
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Min: 
8
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Max: 
33
Ash Creek Bowl Temp Avg: 
22.5
Ash Creek Bowl Snow New: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Cur: 
4.5
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Min: 
4
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Max: 
30
Ash Creek Ridge Temp Avg: 
18
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Cur: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Max: 
45.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Gust Max: 
56.63
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
SSW
Mt. Shasta City Temp Cur: 
26
Mt. Shasta City Temp Min: 
26
Mt. Shasta City Temp Max: 
50
Mt. Shasta City Temp Avg: 
38
Mt. Shasta City Wind Cur: 
3
Mt. Shasta City Wind Min: 
0
Mt. Shasta City Wind Max: 
12
Mt. Shasta City Wind Avg: 
4.5
Ski Bowl Comments: 
water content n/a
Grey Butte Wind Min: 
7
Grey Butte Wind Avg: 
27
Caslte Lake Comments: 
Snow depth sensor down
Mount Eddy Wind Min: 
2
Mount Eddy Wind Avg: 
3.5
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Min: 
0
Ash Creek Ridge Wind Avg: 
24.5
Sand Flat Snow Settlement: 
1
Ski Bowl Snow Settlement: 
0.8
Mount Eddy Snow Settlement: 
0.5
Ash Creek Bowl Snow Settlement: 
49.9
Measured Precipitation Oct: 
26.9
Normal Precipitation Oct: 
20.95
Percent Precipitation Oct: 
128
Measured Precipitation MTD: 
1.02
Normal Precipitation MTD: 
2.42
Percent Precipitation MTD: 
42
Measured Precipitation YTD: 
17.77
Normal Precipitation YTD: 
8.71
Percent Precipitation YTD: 
204
Today SWE: 
0.14
Tonight SWE: 
0.01
Tomorrow SWE: 
0.00
Today Wind Max 7-9: 
20
Tonight Wind Max 7-9: 
20
Tomorrow Wind Max 7-9: 
15
Today Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Tonight Wind Min 7-9: 
10
Tomorrow Wind Min 7-9: 
5
Today Wind Max 9-11: 
47
Tonight Wind Max 9-11: 
35
Tomorrow Wind Max 9-11: 
35
Today Wind Min 9-11: 
33
Tonight Wind Min 9-11: 
25
Tomorrow Wind Min 9-11: 
25
Today Snow Max 7-9: 
2.00
Tonight Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 7-9: 
1.00
Tonight Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 7-9: 
0.00
Today Snow Max 9-11: 
2.00
Tonight Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Max 9-11: 
0.00
Today Snow Min 9-11: 
1.00
Tonight Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Tomorrow Snow Min 9-11: 
0.00
Ash Creek Bowl HS: 
124.8
Weather Station Discussion: 
The table below summarizes data reported from all of our weather stations over the last 24 hours.
Seasonal Stats Discussion: 
The wet season is October 1 through May 1. The table below summarizes recorded vs. normal precipitation amounts for the City of Mount Shasta.
Overall Danger Rating: 
Considerable
Current Time: 
3:00 AM